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<date>2020-11-05
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<article>
<title>The_Battle_for_the_White_House</title>
<author_name>stjohn_piano</author_name>
<date>2020-11-05</date>
<signed_by_author>no</signed_by_author>
<content>



<datablock_lines>

<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
I don't think trump will win


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
I do. Or, more accurately, I think his chances of remaining in office are very good.


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
the numbers are the numbers surely


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
Nope


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
Though I do seriously believe there's been a lot of fraud
On both sides


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
I know from experience how much leeway there can be in numbers.
And you know from history how much "willpower" counts.


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
True
Oh very very much. I'm doing some reading on the Spanish civil war as another perspective to Memoirs of a British Agent <footnote_lines>
Memoirs of a British Agent, by R H Bruce Lockhart, published 1932. An account of the author's experience as a British diplomat in Moscow before, during, and after the Russian Revolution in 1917. Highly recommended, and quite relevant in these troubled times. 
</footnote_lines>
Cracking book by the way


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
numbers may be numbers, but if you are quite sure that your opponents will come after you to kill / destroy you if they win, there is zero incentive to play by the rules. <footnote_lines>
You think his opponents would allow Trump to leave office peacefully, without coming after him to send him to jail, where he gets Epsteined? Really?
</footnote_lines>


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
Very true, I guarantee he's probably assessed that he will be going to jail if he loses


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
yes
new rules, now.
Trump is physically in the White House. <footnote_lines>
Even if he were to leave it briefly, his supporters, staff, infrastructure etc is all still in place there.
</footnote_lines>
Any successful opponent would have to physically go in to remove him.


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
you think his supporters have the guts for that kind of fight ?


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
looks like it.
he has what are effectively his own troops in DC. The ones who cleared Lafayette Park for him, and defended the White House in the summer.
a lot of them have come to understand this year that there is no going back. Their opponents will come after them. <footnote_lines>
Partially because the opponents are themselves terrified of being removed by their own ambitious lieutenants, so they have to keep moving forward, finding targets for their supporters.
</footnote_lines>


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
It'd be the terror all over again.


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
yes


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
It's really best to stay away from the terrors


<bold_lines>
StJohn Piano:
</bold_lines>
oh yes. super no bueno.


<bold_lines>
Friend:
</bold_lines>
Super Mal in fact

</datablock_lines>










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